Direct answer
Renting one year leaves about $7,500 more than selling now and investing. After five years, the difference is about $49,000 before taxes. It needs about $401 a month in cash. Sell if you need the proceeds for your next home or cannot cover that gap. Flat prices, repairs or losing the sale exclusion could change the answer.
This article is general education, not investment, tax, legal or mortgage advice. Rent, sale taxes and lender treatment depend on your records. Ask a CPA or enrolled agent about tax treatment, a fiduciary financial advisor about the proceeds, and a mortgage lender about rental income and qualification.
The example household
All figures below are illustrative. The mortgage balance and purchase price do not reconcile without a later loan change. We treat $320,000 as the current payoff quote. The owner should replace it with the lender's exact amount.
- Example
- $520,000
- What must be checked
- Recent comparable sales or appraisal
- Example
- $320,000
- What must be checked
- Written payoff quote
- Example
- 3.00% fixed
- What must be checked
- Note and statement
- Example
- 24 years assumed
- What must be checked
- Servicer statement and amortization schedule
- Example
- $300,000
- What must be checked
- Closing statement and improvement receipts
- Example
- $2,600 per month
- What must be checked
- Local comparable rentals and signed lease
- Example
- 1.20% of value yearly assumed
- What must be checked
- Current tax bill and local reassessment rules
- Example
- $1,800 yearly assumed
- What must be checked
- Rental dwelling quote, not current owner policy
- Example
- 5% of rent assumed
- What must be checked
- Local vacancy and lease-up history
- Example
- 1% of value yearly assumed
- What must be checked
- Inspection and repair history
- Example
- 8% of rent assumed
- What must be checked
- Written manager quote; self-management changes this cost
- Example
- 6% of sale price assumed
- What must be checked
- Actual agent, transfer, title and repair quotes
- Example
- 3%
- What must be checked
- Sensitivity assumption, not a forecast
- Example
- 4% yearly assumed
- What must be checked
- Sensitivity assumption; current Treasury yield: 4.40%
This is not a recommendation. It is a way to see which missing facts could change the answer. Do not rely on the $320,000 balance and $300,000 original price together without checking whether the owner refinanced or borrowed against the home.
What the rent must pay for
The owner receives $2,600 only when the home is occupied and rent arrives on time. Vacancy reduces expected rent by $130 monthly at the 5% assumption. A manager takes another $208 monthly at 8%. The $520 monthly property-tax reserve and $433 monthly maintenance reserve come from the example's home value. Insurance adds $150 monthly.
The mortgage payment is about $1,560 per month under the assumed 24 years remaining. That payment includes interest and principal. Principal builds equity, but it still leaves the owner's checking account each month. A repair or empty month can make the cash gap larger.
- Amount
- $2,600
- How it is estimated
- Given by the household
- Amount
- -$1,560
- How it is estimated
- $320,000, 3%, 24 years remaining
- Amount
- -$520
- How it is estimated
- 1.2% of $520,000 divided by 12
- Amount
- -$150
- How it is estimated
- $1,800 divided by 12
- Amount
- -$130
- How it is estimated
- 5% of monthly rent
- Amount
- -$433
- How it is estimated
- 1% of home value divided by 12
- Amount
- -$208
- How it is estimated
- 8% of monthly rent
- Amount
- -$401
- How it is estimated
- Rent minus every listed cost
The shortfall does not mean the owner loses $401 of wealth each month. Part of the mortgage payment reduces the loan balance. But the owner still needs $401 in monthly cash under these assumptions. A roof, furnace or several vacant weeks can require much more.
If the owner manages the property personally, the example keeps $208 monthly, or $2,496 yearly, before valuing those hours. That lowers the cash gap to about $193 monthly. It does not remove vacancy, repair, tax or insurance costs.
How rent changes the tax return
The IRS counts rent as income. It allows many ordinary rental expenses, including qualifying mortgage interest, property taxes, insurance, repairs and management fees. Mortgage principal is not a rental expense. The IRS also allows depreciation, which spreads the building's cost over time. Land is not depreciated.
For an illustration only, assume 80% of the $300,000 purchase price was the building. That makes the estimated building cost $240,000. Dividing by 27.5 years gives roughly $8,727 in annual depreciation after a full year in service. The IRS generally bases depreciation on the lower of adjusted cost or fair market value when the home becomes a rental.
The example's first-year scheduled rent is $31,200. At the assumed vacancy rate, expected rent collected is $29,640. Expenses include $6,240 property tax, $1,800 insurance and $5,200 maintenance. They also include $2,496 management, about $9,474 mortgage interest and $8,727 depreciation. For this tax illustration, assume the maintenance reserve is spent on deductible repairs. Setting money aside alone is not deductible. The estimated rental loss is about $4,297 before limits on rental losses. The cash loss is about $4,816.
That tax loss does not guarantee an immediate tax refund. IRS passive-loss rules can limit whether a rental loss lowers tax on wages this year. If you actively participate, a special allowance may let you deduct up to $25,000 of rental loss against other income. It phases out as modified adjusted gross income rises above $100,000 and generally disappears at $150,000. Filing status and participation matter. A disallowed loss generally carries forward. Ask a tax preparer to calculate the rent and expenses on Schedule E, the IRS rental form.
Depreciation can lower taxable rental income now, then raise taxable gain later. The IRS says gain equal to depreciation allowed or allowable after May 6, 1997, cannot be excluded under the home-sale exclusion. The tax return should reflect depreciation the owner could have claimed, even if it was missed.
How renting changes the home-sale deadline
The usual federal home-sale exclusion requires ownership and use as a main home for at least two years during the five years before the sale. The maximum exclusion is generally $250,000 for an eligible individual or $500,000 for an eligible married couple filing jointly. The owner must also meet other rules, including the two-year look-back rule for another excluded home sale.
Renting the entire home after moving does not immediately erase past residence. The test uses the sale date. If the owner lived there for six years, selling within three years after moving may leave two residence years in the five-year period. A sale after five full rental years would usually fail, absent an exception.
For this example, the usual two-year test puts the practical deadline at the third anniversary of moving out. The owner needs at least 24 months of use inside the five years before the sale. A delayed listing is not the same as a delayed closing, so confirm the closing date with a tax preparer before relying on the exclusion.
These dates do not tell you how much tax you owe. Count exact move-in, move-out and closing dates. The IRS has exceptions for certain work, health and other events. The exclusion does not cover the gain tied to depreciation.
Depreciation can lower rental income reported now, but it can increase tax when the owner sells. The table shows assumed deductions after one, three and five rental years. The IRS taxes the part of the sale gain tied to depreciation separately. It is called unrecaptured Section 1250 gain and may face a federal rate of up to 25%, depending on the full tax return. That gain cannot use the home-sale exclusion.
- Assumed depreciation to date
- $8,727
- 25% maximum-rate illustration
- $2,182
- Assumed depreciation to date
- $26,182
- 25% maximum-rate illustration
- $6,545
- Assumed depreciation to date
- $43,636
- 25% maximum-rate illustration
- $10,909
These are upper-bound illustrations, not a tax bill. They assume the full deduction applies, enough gain exists and the 25% maximum rate applies. Your actual rate can be lower. State and other federal taxes, the home's adjusted tax cost, sale price and past depreciation can change the result. A tax professional must calculate it before you decide when to sell.
With the example's $520,000 value and $300,000 purchase price, the simple gain before selling costs is $220,000. Selling costs, qualifying improvements, prior deductions and depreciation change the taxable gain. The couple's filing status and eligibility determine whether the exclusion covers the remaining gain. Do not call the entire $220,000 tax-free based only on the headline exclusion amount.
Keep a house as a rental or sell: estimates after one, three and five years
The table estimates what the owner may have after selling the rental in each year. It compares that amount with selling now and investing the estimated $168,800 proceeds. The sale estimate also invests the monthly shortfalls avoided by selling. It assumes 3% yearly growth in home value, rent and insurance. The investment return is 4%. These are assumptions, not forecasts. Taxes and costs beyond the assumed 6% sale cost are not included.
- Rental cash flow that year
- -$4,816
- Estimated sale proceeds
- About $187,894
- Sell-now proceeds at 4%
- About $180,368
- Verdict
- Keep: ~$7,500 ahead*
- Rental cash flow that year
- -$3,970 in year three
- Estimated sale proceeds
- About $229,533
- Sell-now proceeds at 4%
- About $203,631
- Verdict
- Keep: ~$25,900 ahead*
- Rental cash flow that year
- -$3,071 in year five
- Estimated sale proceeds
- About $276,003
- Sell-now proceeds at 4%
- About $226,987
- Verdict
- Keep: ~$49,000 ahead*, but residence test likely fails
For the rental estimate, we add the assumed increase in the home's value and loan payments that reduce its balance. Then we subtract monthly cash shortfalls. For the sale estimate, we invest those same shortfalls instead. Neither path includes the owner's time, tenant trouble, unexpected repairs, local price declines or sale taxes. The investment estimate assumes the household does not spend the proceeds or saved cash.
The table is not proof that renting wins. It shows that appreciation drives much of the projected gap. Flat prices, slower growth or a major repair can shrink or reverse the result. If the household needs cash for another home, sale proceeds may be more useful than equity that requires selling or borrowing.
You can withdraw or spend savings more easily than home equity. Cash in savings or Treasuries can cover an emergency or the next home's closing costs. Most rental value stays in one property. Selling later may take weeks, add fees and change the tax result. Compare both estimated wealth and access to cash, especially if the new job has variable pay.
A new mortgage may count only part of the rent
Keeping the old mortgage can affect the next home loan. For some conventional mortgages, Fannie Mae lets lenders count 75% of rent shown by a current lease or a form that estimates market rent. On $2,600, that starts at $1,950 before the lender applies other rules and expenses.
That $1,950 is not automatically extra qualifying income. The lender may require documentation, a rental history or a lease in force. The existing mortgage, property tax, insurance and association dues may still count in the debt calculation. Ask the loan officer to run the file both with the rental and without it. Get the answer in writing before making an offer on the next home.
FHA and conventional loans can use different documentation and calculations. This example cites Fannie Mae only. Do not assume the 75% method applies to every loan program or lender.
The rent haircut also does not answer whether the household can carry two homes. A lender may count the existing $1,560 mortgage payment while it evaluates the new payment. It may offset that debt with rental income under its rules, but the lease, history and tax documents matter. A strong credit score does not make an unapproved rent estimate count.
Ask for two written pre-approval calculations. In the first, show the home as vacant and keep its mortgage, tax, insurance and association costs. In the second, show the signed lease and rental expenses. Compare the new payment the lender allows, cash due at closing and savings the lender requires. If approval needs rent no tenant has agreed to pay, ask how the lender will verify it.
Also set aside the move's one-time costs separately. A deposit, temporary housing, movers, overlap between homes and repairs can arrive before the first rent check. The example does not include these amounts because the family has not supplied them. Add actual quotes to the worksheet before spending the sale proceeds or using them as a future down payment.
What would change the answer?
Rent would need to rise by about $401 a month to cover the stated costs, before income tax and unexpected repairs. With self-management, the gap falls to roughly $193 monthly. A local manager's written quote and three comparable signed leases can show whether higher rent is realistic.
A lower tax or insurance bill can move the line. The assumed property-tax reserve is $520 monthly. A $200 monthly lower tax and insurance bill narrows the cash gap by $200. A reassessment, rental policy or local insurance market could move the other way.
Home value changes the long comparison. At 3% yearly, this example shows more home equity after five years. If prices do not rise, the home is still worth about $520,000 before selling costs. The cash shortfall and principal payments still matter. Test flat and falling prices because no forecast is guaranteed.
The sale date can change the tax bill. A sale near the end of the two-of-five window may preserve an exclusion that a later sale loses. Ask a CPA to compare the tax due now with the expected tax after renting. Bring the move date, purchase papers, improvements, depreciation records and filing status.
Mistakes that can cost real money
Counting principal as a tax deduction. The example payment is about $1,560 monthly. Only qualifying interest may be a rental expense; principal is not. About $9,200 of the first year's payments reduces the loan balance, so it is not a rental expense deduction.
Ignoring vacancy. Five percent of $31,200 annual rent is $1,560. If the owner budgets no vacancy and the home sits empty for one month, the missing rent is $2,600 before the mortgage and other bills continue.
Using the homeowner insurance quote. A rental policy may cost more or cover different risks. If the actual policy costs $1,000 more per year, the monthly gap grows about $83.
Forgetting depreciation when selling. At the example's assumptions, one full year of depreciation is about $8,727. That amount can affect the later taxable sale even if the owner qualified for the home-sale exclusion. The preparer needs the amount allowed or allowable.
Assuming every dollar of rent helps qualify for the next mortgage. The Fannie Mae lease method starts with 75% of rent, or $1,950 monthly here, and other underwriting rules still apply. Assuming all $2,600 counts overstates income by $650 monthly before those rules.
Using a headline home value as spendable cash. The $520,000 value is not the sale proceeds. The illustration subtracts a $320,000 loan payoff and 6% sale costs, leaving $168,800 before income tax and any other closing adjustments.
What to do, and when
- Before accepting the relocation date: Get a written mortgage payoff quote, current tax bill, insurance declarations and association statement. Confirm the loan balance because the stated purchase and current debt do not reconcile without another transaction.
- Within one week: Ask two local property managers for rent, vacancy, repair and management estimates. Ask whether the $2,600 figure is a signed lease or only a listing estimate.
- Before listing or renting: Ask a CPA to estimate the sale tax now and after one, three and five years. Bring closing papers, improvement receipts, depreciation records and prior tax returns.
- Before applying for the next mortgage: Ask the loan officer to show how the old mortgage and proposed rent enter the debt calculation. Provide the lease and rental documents they request.
- Before the end of year two after moving: Recheck the five-year home-sale test with the exact dates. Do not wait until the last week to ask about a closing date.
- Every year while renting: Recheck insurance, taxes, rent, repairs, cash reserves and the sale-tax clock. Keep enough cash to cover vacancy plus a major repair without using the next home's down payment.
Who to talk to
Ask a CPA or enrolled agent who handles rentals and home sales to calculate depreciation and the home-sale exclusion. Ask how rental losses may be limited and how improvements and prior deductions change the home's tax cost. Bring closing papers, mortgage payoff history, improvement receipts, rental start date, rent records, expense receipts and tax returns.
Ask a mortgage loan officer to run the next application with the rental income and existing home debt. Bring the signed lease, proof of rent, prior Schedule E if available, mortgage statement, tax bill and insurance quote. Ask which underwriting guide the lender will use.
Ask an insurance agent for a landlord policy quote before comparing rental cash flow. Ask about vacancy, liability, water damage, roof age and any conditions that could limit a claim.
Common questions
Does a 3% mortgage make renting the house an automatic win?
No. The example still runs about $401 short each month before income tax. Repairs, vacancy and taxes can outweigh the low rate.
Can I rent the home for three years and still use the exclusion?
Possibly, if the exact dates leave two years of residence inside the five years before sale and other tests are met. The gain tied to depreciation is still taxable. The rest may qualify.
Can I sell after five years and exclude the same gain?
Usually not if you lived there only before those five rental years. A tax preparer can check whether an exception applies to your move.
Does the IRS let me deduct the whole mortgage payment?
No. Qualifying mortgage interest may count as an expense. Principal repayment does not. Depreciation also follows separate tax rules.
Will my next mortgage lender count the lease?
Maybe. For some conventional loans, Fannie Mae starts with 75% of rent on a current lease. The lender must review your documents and full debt picture.
Is the sale proceeds estimate guaranteed?
No. It assumes a $520,000 sale, 6% costs and a $320,000 payoff. Taxes, concessions, repairs and actual fees change the result.
Sources and dates
- IRS Publication 523, Selling Your Home (2025), accessed October 26, 2026. Supports the $250,000/$500,000 limits, ownership and use tests, two-of-five timing, exceptions and depreciation exclusion limits.
- IRS Publication 527, Residential Rental Property (2025), accessed October 26, 2026. Supports rental income reporting, deductible expense categories, depreciation, basis rules and the 27.5-year residential recovery period.
- IRS Publication 925, Passive Activity and At-Risk Rules (2025), accessed October 26, 2026. Supports limits on using rental losses against other income and the carryforward of disallowed losses.
- IRS Instructions for Form 4797 (2025), accessed October 26, 2026. Explains when section 1250 ordinary-income recapture applies and generally excludes post-1986 27.5-year residential rental property using standard MACRS.
- IRS Topic 409, Capital Gains and Losses, accessed October 26, 2026. States the 25% maximum federal rate for unrecaptured section 1250 gain.
- Fannie Mae Selling Guide, B3-3.1-08, Rental Income (April 22, 2026), accessed October 26, 2026. Supports using 75% of gross rent with current leases or market-rent forms and related documentation.
All household costs, growth rates, sale costs and investment returns are illustrative assumptions. The current Treasury rate appears above as a live rate token; the worked outcomes use a separate 4% assumption. This article is general education, not tax, legal, lending or investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
Does a 3% mortgage make keeping a home as a rental a good deal?
How long can I rent my former home and still claim the home-sale exclusion?
Will a lender count all of my rent for a new mortgage?
Can rental depreciation erase the tax on a future home sale?
What if rent does not cover the full mortgage payment?
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