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Fed Rate Decision Tracker

Every FOMC decision, and what it means for your savings, mortgage, and credit card rates. Updated within hours of each announcement.

Did your bank pass on the September hike? See the bank-by-bank tracker
Current Fed Funds Rate
3.875%
3.75–4.00% target range (midpoint shown)
Raised 0.25 pts at the Sep 15-16 meeting
Best savings APY
4.27% APY
Down from ~5.3% at peak
Best CD
5.00% APY
Fixed for the full term
30-yr Mortgage
6.94%
Treasury-driven
Dot Plot 2026
4.10%
Median Fed projection
Next FOMC Meeting: Oct 27-28

Decision pending — market projections updated daily.

Get rate change alert

2026 FOMC Meeting Schedule & Decisions

Jan 27-28Hold3.50-3.75%

Hold — inflation still above target

Mar 17-18Hold3.50-3.75%

PCE at 2.7% — no cut yet, dot plot unchanged at 2 cuts for 2026

Apr 28-29Hold3.50-3.75%

PCE at 2.6% — no cut yet, dot plot still projecting 2 cuts in 2026

Jun 16-17Hold3.50-3.75%

Hold — market had priced a cut ahead of the meeting; the FOMC stood pat

Jul 28-29Hold3.50-3.75%

Hold — target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

Sep 15-16Hike (+25bps)3.75-4.00%

Hike — first increase since 2023. Median projection now 4.1% by year end, one more hike penciled in

Oct 27-28Upcoming
Dec 8-9Upcoming

How Fed Decisions Move Your Rates

Different products respond differently to Fed rate changes. Here's what a 25bps cut, hold, or hike means for each.

🏦

High-Yield Savings (HYSA)

4.27% APY
If Fed cuts 25bps
~4.07% APY
If Fed holds
Stable
If Fed hikes 25bps
~4.47% APY
Sensitivity: High — moves within 30 days of Fed action
💰

Money Market Accounts

4.17% APY
If Fed cuts 25bps
~3.97% APY
If Fed holds
Stable
If Fed hikes 25bps
~4.47% APY
Sensitivity: High — prime rate-linked
🔒

CD Rates (12-month)

5.00% APY
If Fed cuts 25bps
Locked if already purchased; new CDs drop
If Fed holds
Stable — lock in now
If Fed hikes 25bps
New CDs increase
Sensitivity: Medium — forward-looking, priced on yield curve
🏠

30-Year Mortgage

6.94% APR
If Fed cuts 25bps
May drop 10-20bps (not 1:1 with Fed)
If Fed holds
Driven by 10-yr Treasury, not Fed Funds
If Fed hikes 25bps
Would rise further
Sensitivity: Low direct correlation — follows 10-yr Treasury
💳

Credit Card APR

~22.4% APR (average)
If Fed cuts 25bps
~22.11% APR
If Fed holds
Unchanged
If Fed hikes 25bps
~22.61% APR
Sensitivity: High — directly prime rate-linked (prime + margin)
🏡

HELOC Rate

Prime (7.00%) + your lender's margin
If Fed cuts 25bps
Falls 0.25 pts at the next rate reset
If Fed holds
Unchanged
If Fed hikes 25bps
Rises 0.25 pts at the next rate reset
Sensitivity: High — variable, prime rate-linked

What a 0.25-point Fed move is worth on your savings

If your bank passes the full move on to you, each 0.25-point change in your savings rate changes a year of interest by:

$10k balance
$25/yr
per 0.25-point move
$25k balance
$63/yr
per 0.25-point move
$50k balance
$125/yr
per 0.25-point move
$100k balance
$250/yr
per 0.25-point move

Banks don't have to pass a hike on, and most savings accounts had not moved a week after the September 2026 increase. Check whether yours did, or compare CD rates. Full historical data: Fed Funds rate chart.

Fed Funds Rate — monthly (FRED)

The effective rate over the current cycle. See the full history page for the complete series and per-balance dollar impact.

0.5%2.0%3.4%4.8%Oct 2016Apr 2018Oct 2019Apr 2021Oct 2022Apr 2024Oct 2025Sep 2026

The Full Rate Cycle — 2022 to Today

The Fed raised rates 525bps in 16 months (2022-2023) — the fastest hiking cycle in 40 years. The cutting cycle began in September 2024 and ended in December 2025; in September 2026 the Fed raised rates again.

PeriodActionRateChange
September 2026Rate hike +25bps, first since 20233.75-4.00%+25bps
July 2026Hold3.50-3.75%Hold
June 2026Hold3.50-3.75%Hold
April 2026Hold3.50-3.75%Hold
March 2026Hold3.50-3.75%Hold
January 2026Hold3.50-3.75%Hold
December 2025Rate cut -25bps3.50-3.75%-25bps
November 2025Rate cut -25bps3.75-4.00%-25bps
September 2025Rate cut -25bps4.00-4.25%-25bps
January 2025Hold4.25-4.50%Hold
December 2024Rate cut -25bps4.25-4.50%-25bps
November 2024Rate cut -25bps4.50-4.75%-25bps
September 2024First cut -50bps4.75-5.00%-50bps
July 2023Rate hike +25bps — peak5.25-5.50%+25bps
February 2023Rate hike +25bps4.50-4.75%+25bps
November 2022Rate hike +75bps3.75-4.00%+75bps
July 2022Rate hike +75bps2.25-2.50%+75bps
June 2022Rate hike +75bps1.50-1.75%+75bps
May 2022Rate hike +50bps0.75-1.00%+50bps
March 2022Hiking cycle begins0.25-0.50%+25bps

Make Sure the Hike Reaches Your Savings

The Fed raised rates, but your bank decides whether you see any of it. Compare what you earn with today's top rates.

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